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Bet for Value: NCAA Football

Betting "marquee" or television games is athat fell by the wayside in the Ragin'
popular Saturday recreational activity forCajuns' loss to Texas was that of the 418
squares and wise guys that causes radicalyards allowed, the Cajuns managed to hold
fluctuations in the spread and can turn aTexas' air attack to 173 yards. If the Cajuns
sure winner into a sure loser. To protect uscan hold Bohnet to pedestrian numbers they'll
from denting our bankroll in the first weekseven  have  a  shot  at  winning  this game.
of the season we see the value in wagering on
NCAA football games that are under the radar.
The more obscure the game the better. What
does it matter if you win a nickel on EasternPick:  ULL  Ragin'  Cajuns  +7
Michigan or on the University of Michigan?
This means you won't see Kirk, Lee and Chris
spotlighting these games on Saturday morning.
MTSU BLUE RAIDERS (-4) vs. North Texas Mean
Green  (48  O/U)
In this space this college football season
you won't see us recommending a lumber-playQuestion: How do you not bet North Texas
on USC, Texas or Iowa. In fact, the games wewhen they're grabbing four points against a
recommend you'll have a hard time finding onteam they have never lost against? Mean Green
television, unless you live within theputs its 25 game Sun Belt Conference winning
region. So fire-up the gamecast at yourstreak on the line as they travel to the MTSU
favorite online sports news website and flexBlue Raiders this weekend. Las Vegas Sports
your "refresh button" finger since theConsultants opened the Blue Raiders as a
scoring lag will be great and they won't5-point home favorite and set the total at 48
flash the score in the middle of the Notrepoints, the total has not moved while the
Dame-Michigan game. Despite the setback ofearly action had bettors grabbing the five
easily finding an accurate up-to-date score,points for the four-time defending Sun Belt
and if you can bear betting a game you can'tchampions. Maybe it is I, but don't you see
watch, we believe that you'll get as muchsomething funky in that number, something
value, if not more, betting schools inthat screams sucker bet? Due to the
smaller conferences than you will in thedevastation from Katrina North Texas' opener
bigger conferences where square money can andat LSU was postponed, while the Blue Raiders
often does kill your bet or parlay.This week,dropped their first game against the Crimson
we have two games that the line has moved inTide 26-7. In their loss one thing was
our favor, despite being bet up early. We seeabundantly clear to all who watched the game,
that EMU has moved from five points to seventhe Blue Raiders will have to figure out
points and North Texas has moved from fivetheir running game if they hope to win this
points down to four. Now lets take advantageweek against North Texas. Against the Crimson
of the steam since we see something that theTide's stingy defense MTSU managed a paltry
early  money  has  not.34 yards on 25 carries! However, playing
against a North Texas team with four new DL
starters maybe the balm the Blue Raider
running  game  needs.
EMU EAGLES (-7) vs. ULL Ragin' Caguns (56 O
U)
We'll see if having played one game versus a
team that has not played a game yet will make
This week we turn our attention toa difference. Keep in mind that North Texas
Yipslanti, Michigan. This added game openedhas lost eight straight season openers. There
with the Eagles as a 5-point "chalk" but wasis also the revenge factor for the Blue
quickly bet up to seven by gamblers lookingRaiders. Recalling last year at Denton, Texas
to get on the offensively minded Eagleswhen these two teams went head-to-head, MTSU
before the square money takes over Saturdayheld a 14-0 lead over Mean Green (who were a
morning. So far the steam is on the Eagles3-point favorite) until the second quarter
and that makes me like this play even more.when the Blue Raiders gave up 24 points and
The total has remained locked at 56 points assuffered a tough 30-21 road loss. Last year's
the odds brokers fully expect this game to beloss was MTSU's fourth consecutive loss to
a high scoring affair. We see the number inNorth Texas. Remember, defensively last year
this game (even at five points) inflated duewas a down year for Mean Green and certainly
to several reasons. First and foremost is thethis year is still a rebuilding year for the
60-3 dismantling of the Ragin' Cajuns by theDBs and DLs (four new starters). These are a
Texas Longhorns. While Texas dominated everyfew of the reasons that the Blue Raiders are
aspect of the lopsided affair, one has tothe favorite in this game. However, what I
consider that the Ragin' Cajuns were one ofbelieve is the key factor for North Texas in
the only teams in Louisiana playing last weekthis game is red-shirt freshman Daniel Meager
in the aftermath of Katrina and about 20taking over for Scott Hall. True, all Meager
players are from the New Orleans area. Thehas to do is not lose the game by handing the
Eagles dropped their season opener toball off to stud RB Cobbs and Thomas. But
Cincinnati 26-28, but led at the half 20-14.this is Meager's first start in the NCAAs and
However, it was the stellar play of theit comes on the road at Floyd Stadium. For
Eagles QB Matt Bohnet and the woeful displaythe Blue Raiders I see QB Clinton Marks
of the Cajuns defense against Texas that ishaving a better day than against the Crimson
also likely to account for the large number.Tide (12-of-18 attempts for just 117 yards
Against the Bearcats, Bohnet went 22-of-33and a 14-yard TD toss). On defense, Blue
for 167 yards and a 27-yard scoring pass toRaider linebacker Jonathan Bonner returned
Eric Deslauriers in the first quarter. Bohnetfrom a season ending neck injury in '04 and
accounted for 65 rushing yards on 10 carriescollected 5 1/2 tackles. Bradley Robinson had
making  him  the  Eagles  leading  rusher.significant impact against Alabama with 8 1/2
tackles  and  one  interception.
Looking at this week's battle between the
Sun Belt and Mid-American Conferences, we seeAnswer: You bet against North Texas because
a much more favorable situation for thethey are playing their first game of the
Ragin' Cajuns-despite going on the road forseason on the road with a red shirt freshman
their second straight week. Both teams bringquarterback against a team that has one game
identical 0-1 records and look at this gameunder their belt and a super accurate passer
as a must win. No doubt about it, the Eaglesand is looking to revenge a loss. Despite the
are loaded with offensive weapons, however,power running game the SBC streak ends at 25
their running game is suspect as is the casefor  North  Texas.
when your QB is your leading rusher. On
defense, the Eagles had a hard time stopping
the Bearcats as they allowed 469 yards of
total offense of which 293 yards were rushingPICK:  MTSU  -4
yards. Good thing for the Eagles they'll face
an aerial attack by the Ragin' Cajuns as they
get back their star WR Bill Sampy after he
served his one-game suspension last week.Let me know what you think at Doc's Sports
Last year Sampy led the team with 57Handy Links:college football oddscollege
receptions and 6 TDs. You can count on thefootball picksfree college football
Cajuns to throw the ball since their startingpicksDoc's  Sports  Handicapping  Service
TB Chester Johnson is nursing an injured
shoulder and is questionable for the EMU1-866-238-6696Since 1971 Doc's Sports has
game. This is the first time that these twobeen recognized as one of the leaders and
teams have met, and we see the teams tradingmost trusted names in sports handicapping
points throughout this game as both team'sinformation.
defenses have proved porous. One statistic



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